Major Categories
Best Picture
One Battle After Another Frontrunner
-567
85%
Marty Supreme • Frankenstein • Sentimental Value • Others
<1%
Best Director
Paul Thomas Anderson Frontrunner
One Battle After Another
-1150
92%
Josh Safdie • Chloé Zhao • Joachim Trier
<1%
Best Actor in a Leading Role
Timothée Chalamet Frontrunner
Marty Supreme
56%
Michael B. Jordan
Sinners
37%
Leonardo DiCaprio
One Battle After Another
4%
Wagner Moura
The Secret Agent
1%
Best Actress in a Leading Role
Jessie Buckley Frontrunner
Hamnet
65%
Renate Reinsve
Sentimental Value
15%
Rose Byrne
If I Had Legs I’d Kick You
5%
Kate Hudson
Song Sung Blue
3%
Best Actor in a Supporting Role
Sean Penn Frontrunner
One Battle After Another
3/10
77%
Stellan Skarsgård
Sentimental Value
4/1
20%
Delroy Lindo • Jacob Elordi • Benicio del Toro
<2%
Best Actress in a Supporting Role
Amy Madigan Frontrunner
Weapons
48%
Elle Fanning
Sentimental Value
15%
Teyana Taylor
One Battle After Another
8%
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas
Sentimental Value
4%
Screenplay
Best Original Screenplay
Ryan Coogler Frontrunner
Sinners
1/18
95%
Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie
Marty Supreme
3%
Eskil Vogt & Joachim Trier • Robert Kaplow • Jafar Panahi et al.
<1%
Best Adapted Screenplay
Paul Thomas Anderson Frontrunner
One Battle After Another
1/14
93%
Chloé Zhao & Maggie O’Farrell
Hamnet
4%
Guillermo del Toro • Will Tracy • Clint Bailey & Greg Kwedar
<1%
Odds sourced from betting markets including
Covers,
Sportsbook Review, and
Polymarket.
Percentages are implied probabilities converted from the consensus line as of March 8, 2026.
Fractional odds (e.g. 3/10) sourced from UK bookmakers.
American odds shown where available.
Odds for craft and technical categories (Cinematography, Editing, Score, VFX, etc.) not shown — coverage of those categories is thinner across markets.
• Full nominee list → Oscars 2026